Edmonton Oilers Prediction–Vukota Rankings?

 

Jordan Eberle in Oil Silks...

Jordan Eberle in Oil Silks...

 

Looking into the clouds is often used as a metaphor for predicting future events.  Already this off season, we’ve seen predictions regarding the NHL standings from both the Hockey News as well as the Sports Illustrated Power Rankings.  To add to the mix, I’ve recently taken at look at the less than charitable prediction for the Edmonton Oilers from Puck Prospectus.

To recap, Sports Illustrated has the most favorable and only prediction that suggests the Edmonton Oilers will make it to the second season.  Specifically, SI predicts that the Edmonton Oilers will finish 14th overall and 8th in the Western conference.  In contrast, The Hockey News has us finishing 11th in the Western Conference or 3 spots out of the playoffs.

Sports Illustrated NHL Power Rankings (Western Conference)

  1. San Jose Sharks
  2. Detroit Red Wings
  3. Chicago Blackhawks
  4. Calgary Flames
  5. Anaheim Mighty Ducks
  6. Vancouver Canucks
  7. St. Louis Blues
  8. Edmonton Oilers
  9. Columbus Blue Jackets
  10. Dallas Stars
  11. Minnesota Wild
  12. LA Kings
  13. Nashville Predators
  14. Colorado Avalanche
  15. Phoenix Coyotes

The Hockey News regular season predictions

  1. San Jose Sharks
  2. Chicago Blackhawks
  3. Vancouver Canucks
  4. Detroit Red Wings
  5. Calgary Flames
  6. Anaheim Mighty Ducks
  7. Dallas Stars
  8. Columbus Blue Jackets
  9. St. Louis Blues
  10. Nashville Predators
  11. Edmonton Oilers
  12. LA Kings
  13. Minnesota Wild
  14. Colorado Avalanche
  15. Phoenix Coyotes

Puck Prospectus Vukota rankings

PuckProspectus likes to keep our readers one step ahead of the competition. To this end, we have developed a tool called VUKOTA. Following in the tradition of PECOTA and KUBIAK, VUKOTA is PuckProspectus’ player projection system. Using a combination of fundamental and advanced statistics, VUKOTA compares current NHL players to comparable players throughout history to best project their next season’s performance in goals, assists and points as well as GVT. VUKOTA will be an additional tool in the PuckProspectus arsenal to help us and our readers better understand the inner workings of the hockey world. Stay tuned for more VUKOTA goodies on PuckProspectus as the 2009-10 season approaches!

  1. Chicago Black Hawks
  2. Detroit Red Wings
  3. Vancouver Canucks
  4. Anaheim Mighty Ducks
  5. SJ Sharks
  6. Minnesota Wild
  7. Calgary Flames
  8. St. Louis Blues
  9. Dallas Stars
  10. Columbus Blue Jackets
  11. Edmonton Oilers
  12. Nashville Predators
  13. LA Kings
  14. Colorado Avalanche
  15. Phoenix Coyotes

I’m at a loss as to how they’re predicting the Oilers to finish 11th.

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4 thoughts on “Edmonton Oilers Prediction–Vukota Rankings?

  1. Can’t say I’m a big fan of Vukota, though I’m not sure they’ve ever explained what Vukota is.

    It’s probably some measure based to a huge extent on traditional plus/minus, which might work when ranking teams, but not when ranking individual players, that’s for usre.

  2. David, yeah the Vukota system certainly has that ‘blackbox’ element to it. As for their rankings, it looks like they have the St. Louis Blues and Minnesota Wild ranked considerably higher perhaps than SI or THN. Overall, the WC predictions are reasonably similar regardless of the source of the predictions.

    With teams like SJ, Detroit, Chicago, and Anaheim near the top of the heap while teams like Phoenix, Colorado, round out the bottom, it’s not a particularly hard year to guess how the WC teams will be stratified.

    As an Oilers fan though, I can appreciate that we’re in tight for a playoff spot this year. Here’s to hoping that Pat Quinn can make it happen…

  3. Pingback: Why Doesn’t Anyone Want to Play for the Edmonton Oilers? « The Sports Juice

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